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AI Moneyball: How PlayVision is Revolutionizing College Basketball's Transfer Portal

PlayVision TeamMarch 15, 2024
AI Moneyball: How PlayVision is Revolutionizing College Basketball's Transfer Portal

The Old Game: Tradition, Talent Gaps, and a Manual Lens into the Transfer Portal's Wild West

The college basketball transfer portal is only six years old, but it has already transformed recruitment dynamics across the sport. With collegiate athletes now able to be paid, the game is undergoing shifts in processes and strategies—much like many other industries.

Historically, college basketball has operated within a hierarchy dominated by blue blood programs, creating a wide talent gap among the 350 Division-1 men's teams. Only 15 programs have won multiple championships. At first glance, the transfer portal seems to widen that gap. Bigger market teams attract more NIL money and use it aggressively to win over the best players. It has become like an auction, where players follow the bigger check instead of tradition, culture, or academic fit.

For smaller programs in power conferences and mid-majors, limited coaching staffs are overwhelmed trying to manually track thousands of players and stats. At first glance, the future may look bleak—but college basketball has always thrived on the underdog spirit. March Madness is chaos and excitement, where unknown teams can topple household names. It's David versus Goliath — but David doesn't wield Goliath's sword. Instead, he has his own.

The New Era: AI-Driven Analysis Leveling the Playing Field for Every Team

At PlayVision AI, we're leveraging AI and ML to turn this upheaval into opportunity, helping every team compete smarter and stronger. Traditional scouting and recruiting simply can't keep pace with the speed and complexity the transfer portal demands. Coaches and scouts crave tools to spot diamonds in the rough—players who can change the game. That's what Moneyball was about, right? We're here to take it even further.

This past season, over 2,300 players entered the transfer portal—roughly 41% of all Division-1 men's basketball players. While the top 50-100 players often have clear landing spots, many teams scramble to rebuild rosters that look completely different week to week.

PlayVision identified these trends early and used AI to tackle them head-on. Using a proprietary algorithm, we ranked all 5,607 players based on offensive and defensive skill, efficiency, and usage. This gave birth to our game-changer: the PlayVision Player Index (PPI)—a data-driven edge once reserved for blue blood programs, now accessible to schools of every size.

Take Yaxel Lendeborg, a senior from the University of Alabama at Birmingham. While respected within his conference, teams at higher levels underestimated him, doubting a mid-major player could top our leaderboard. But we stood firm. We analyzed his ability to get to the rim, his efficient outside shooting at over 35% despite standing 6'10", his accurate passing, and the advantages created when he attacks the paint—quantifying every detail.

Yaxel earned a 91.8 PPI, the highest of any player in the transfer portal and the fourth highest nationally—trailing only Cooper Flagg (95.0), Johni Broome (94.9), and Collin Murray-Boyles (92.0), all projected first-round draft picks.

Teams took notice. Yaxel skyrocketed from being unranked as a junior to becoming the consensus top player in the transfer portal, ultimately forgoing the NBA draft to sign with the University of Michigan for $4 million. His decision reflects a growing trend: with rising NIL money, staying in college can now be more lucrative than going pro.

But the PPI isn't just for the elite. Schools at every level—Power 5, mid-major, even Ivy League—use these metrics to break down players. The University of Florida won a national championship this year with three of its top five players coming from mid-major schools.

Imagine access to hundreds of stats—dribbles, off-ball actions, passing tendencies—that reveal a player's true worth beyond money. This is college basketball: chaotic, thrilling, and now more insightful than ever.

AI won't take away the game we love—it will enhance it. With 350 Division-1 men's teams, let's create a world where every team has a chance. PlayVision AI is the key to that future.

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